Business & Economics

140,000 Businesses Are About to Change Hands. Is Yours Ready?

Business Strategy  |  3 min read

Canada is on the verge of one of the largest business transitions in its entire history.

According to the newly released BDC study The M&A Advantage for Canada’s Entrepreneurs, nearly 61% of small- and medium-sized businesses are led by owners aged 50 or older, and almost one in five plan to exit within five years.

Even more striking: one-quarter of those exits could happen within the next 12 months.

That represents more than $300 billion in revenues poised to change hands.

For buyers, this is a once-in-a-generation opportunity. For sellers, it’s a moment of truth.

And in both cases, there’s ONE asset that can make or break a deal:

Accounts receivable.

Buyers Are Looking Closely

BDC’s study makes it clear that acquisitions can dramatically increase profitability. SMEs that acquire report four times the profits of non-acquirers five years after the transaction.

But here’s what every buyer should remember: growth on paper only matters if the numbers are sound.

When a business goes to market, buyers and lenders examine:

  • Revenue quality
  • Profit margins
  • Cash flow stability
  • Aging of receivables
  • Write-off history

If accounts receivable are bloated, aging beyond 90 days, or filled with disputed balances, valuation suffers. Not necessarily because the business lacks potential, but because the buyer sees risk.

And risk reduces both desirability and price.

Receivables Tell a Story

Strong receivables say:

  • This business enforces clear credit terms.
  • Customers respect payment policies.
  • Cash flow is predictable.
  • Management acts early, not late.

Weak receivables say something else entirely.

When overdue accounts pile up without action, buyers question operational discipline. They wonder what else been neglected. They assume additional working capital will be required post-acquisition.

That often leads to:

  • Lower purchase multiples
  • Earn-out structures
  • Holdbacks
  • More aggressive due diligence

None of which benefit you as the seller.

Even If You’re Not Selling

You may not be planning an exit anytime soon. That’s fine. We need some folks to keep things stable!

And the discipline required to prepare for a sale is the same discipline that strengthens a business for the long term.

BDC notes that acquisitions demand careful planning and preparation — yet only 5% of first-time buyers have taken meaningful preparatory steps. 

Preparation is where value is built.

If your receivables are clean, current, and actively managed, you are:

  • More attractive to lenders
  • More resilient in downturns
  • Better positioned to negotiate
  • Less exposed to insolvency ripple effects

Clean books are about control more than optics.

Timing Matters

The same BDC study shows that for every 10 businesses looking to buy, only seven are looking to sell. 

That imbalance increases competition among buyers … but it also increases scrutiny. Buyers can afford to be selective, because it’s never urgent for them.

If your accounts receivable aging report raises red flags, you may not get a second look.

And if you wait until you’re already in negotiations to clean it up, you’ve waited too long.

Collections work best when action happens early. Once an account passes 60 days overdue, recovery probability declines rapidly. That’s not theory, but decades of data.

The Leverage of Clean Receivables

In transactions, valuation is often based on a multiple of profit.

Profit is directly tied to cash flow.
And that cash flow is directly tied to receivables.

It’s a straight line.

If receivables are collected efficiently, profits reflect reality. If they are inflated with doubtful accounts, profits look stronger than they truly are — and buyers will discount accordingly.

A Practical Suggestion

If you are among the many Canadian business owners considering an exit in the next five years (or even the next twelve months) start reviewing your receivables NOW:

  • Tighten credit terms.
  • Enforce 60-day collection policies.
  • Address chronic slow payers.
  • Eliminate write-off complacency.

And if you’re not planning to exit, apply the same discipline anyway.

The wave of business transitions coming to Canada will reward companies that are organized, prepared, and proactive.

Clean receivables signal strong leadership.

And in a market where billions in value are changing hands, strength is what buyers pay for.

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Brian Summerflet Author: Brian Summerfelt

President and CEO of MetCredit, Canada's top-performing consumer and commercial collection agency

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